Tony Watch 2016: Best Featured Actress in a Musical Nomination Predictions

Next up is the featured actress in a musical category! In this category there are 5 guaranteed slots, but in the event there is a two-way or three-way tie for the last slot of nominations both or all three of the tied performers will be eligible, meaning up to 7 people could be nominated, though it is unlikely.

Best Featured Actress in a Musical:

The featured in a musical categories are very deep this year. The bottom 16 or so women on this list have essentially no chance, but did enough to be in the conversation. A small group above that has a little chance, but not enough to mention by name. Only the top 15 have any sort of a real chance.

There are a few definite frontrunners. Renee Elise Goldsberry is definitely the favorite, with Jane Krakowski, Jennifer Hudson and Danielle Brooks all having very strong cases as well. Hudson and Brooks might face the issue of being castmates, but both have strong enough performances and reviews that it might not be an issue.

Most of the rest of the top tier have some issue that they will have a hard time overcoming. Krysta Rodriguez and Lesli Margherita both good performances, but their shows are closed. Andrea Burns, Jennifer Damiano and Jasmine Cephas Jones also did well, but in very small roles, which might not get them enough attention. Kimiko Glenn and Keala Settle might split any votes for Waitress, though one of them might sneak in.

The most likely people to be fighting for the last spot are Jennifer Simard, Helene Yorke, Carolee Carmello and Jessica Hecht. All 4 are veteran, respected actresses with meaty roles, and any could reasonably be the nominee, or steal a spot from one of the front runners.


Renee Elise Goldsberry (Hamilton): 80%
Jennifer Hudson (The Color Purple): 65%
Jane Krakowski (She Loves Me): 65%
Danielle Brooks (The Color Purple): 50%
Helene Yorke (American Psycho): 40%
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Jennifer Simard (Disaster!): 35%
Carolee Carmello (Tuck Everlasting): 25%
Jessica Hecht (Fiddler on the Roof): 20%
Keala Settle (Waitress): 18%
Jasmine Cephas Jones (Hamilton): 15%
Kimiko Glenn (Waitress): 15%
Lesli Margherita (Dames at Sea): 15%
Andrea Burns (On Your Feet!): 10%
Jennifer Damiano (American Psycho): 8%
Krysta Rodriguez (Spring Awakening): 5%
Samantha Massell (Fiddler on the Roof): 3%
Alice Ripley (American Psycho): 3%
Lacretta Nicole (Disaster!): 2%
Kerry Butler (Disaster!): 2%
Sierra Boggess (School of Rock): 2%
Emily Padgett (Bright Star): 1%
Adrienne Warren (Shuffle Along): 1%
Dee Hoty (Bright Star): 1%
Katie Rose Clarke (Allegiance): 1%
Faith Prince (Disaster!): 1%
Alexandra Silber (Fiddler on the Roof): 1%
Rachel York (Disaster!): 1%
Amber Iman (Shuffle Along): 1%
Melanie Moore (Fiddler on the Roof): 1%
Hannah Elless (Bright Star): 1%
Mara Davi (Dames at Sea): 1%
Felicia Boswell (Shuffle Along): 1%
Alma Cuervo (On Your Feet!): 1%
Laiona Michelle (Amazing Grace): 1%
Alix Korey (Fiddler on the Roof): 1%
Harriett D. Foy (Amazing Grace): 1%

Renee Elise Goldsberry with Philippa Soo and Jasmine Cephas Jones in Hamilton