Tony Watch 2016: Best Book Nomination Predictions

Now that we've taken a look at the design awards, we're moving on to the creative awards! To start, we're going to take a look at the potential nominees for best book.

Best Book:

A few of the spots in this category are still up for grabs, as shows like Tuck Everlasting, Shuffle Along and Waitress are still fine-tuning their books as they prepare to officially open. However there's a lot that we can say for sure. For example, Hamilton is definitely in. It not being nominated, as in most categories, would be a major upset. In addition, we know that Amazing Grace, Allegiance and On Your Feet! have basically no chance.

Of the remaining shows Waitress seems like the closest thing to a lock. After that it will very much depend how development goes. Shuffle Along seemed strong, but cancelled previews are never a good sign for a show, and many have said the show needs to be edited down and focused, which would be an issue with the book. Tuck Everlasting has been compared to Finding Neverland in the sense that some find it too showy and poppy, while others love the magical story. School of Rock received praise, but doesn't deviate far from the movie of the same name. Bright Star's book got mixed reviews, and American Psycho is getting polarizing reviews, but has apparently stayed very true to the book. Really if any of these shows can shape up they have a solid shot at a nomination, so check back as we'll be updating our predictions as reviews come out.

Hamilton (Lin-Manuel Miranda): 95%
Waitress (Jessie Nelson): 75%
School of Rock (Julian Fellowes): 45%
American Psycho (Roberto Aguirre-Sacasa): 37%
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Shuffle Along... (George C. Wolfe): 35%
Tuck Everlasting (Claudia Shear): 30%
Bright Star (Edie Brickell): 30%
On Your Feet (Alexander Dinelaris): 10%
Allegiance (Marc Acito): 1%
Amazing Grace (Christopher Smith and Arthur Giron): 1%

A Scene from Hamilton