Tony Watch 2015: Best Revival of a Musical

Consistently one of the smallest categories, there are only 5 potential nominees for Musical Revival this year. Because of last year's Tony rule change, that means that there are 3 guaranteed nominees in this category, with a potential 4th nominee if the voting is close enough among the nominating committee.

The candidates for this year's award are:

Gigi

On the Town

On the Twentieth Century

Sideshow

The King and I

Right off the bat there are some clear favorites, and one that is clearly behind the others. The King and I and On the Twentieth Century both scored rave reviews from most major critics, and are essentially locks to be nominated. On the other end of the spectrum, Gigi received mixed to negative reviews, and is all but eliminated from the running.

This leaves us with two shows fighting for the third position. hypothetically both Side Show and On the Town could make it if the votes were close enough, but On the Town has a few things helping it out. First, it is still running, which has been no easy feat. Side Show closed back in January, but On the Town has pushed through the slow months, cutting running costs and taking losses. In addition, On the Town is essentially a love letter to New York, with the plot centered around the wonderful crazy city that is The Big Apple. Both of these, along with mostly positive reviews, could push voters in the direction of On the Town

Nomination Odds:

The King and I: 95%

On the Twentieth Century: 95%

On the Town: 65%

Sideshow: 44%

Gigi: 1%