Tony Watch 2015: Award for Best Book of a Musical

The competition for Best Book has a front runner, but not an entirely dominant one. One of its fellow nominees may pull off the upset. The nominees are:

An American in Paris (Craig Lucas)

Fun Home (Lisa Kron)

Something Rotten! (Karey Kirkpatrick & John O'Farrell)

The Visit (Terrence McNally)

At the bottom of the heap for this award is Tony veteran Terrence McNally, whose book got mixed reviews for a show that is struggling at the box office. An American in Paris has a strong book, but because it is based on the movie it'd be tough for it to pull off the win.

The front runner for this category is Lisa Kron's book for Fun Home, and will likely take home the award. However, Something Rotten! may be able to swoop in and steal the Tony, as it is fresher and has more buzz, along with being a more upbeat musical, and having no source material to borrow from. But will that be enough for the win?

Tony Odds:

Fun Home (Lisa Kron): 55%

Something Rotten! (Karey Kirkpatrick & John O'Farrell): 35%

An American in Paris (Craig Lucas): 7%

The Visit (Terrence McNally): 3%