Wednesday, November 18, 2015

Tony Watch 2016: Lead Performers in a Play

Since the Tony awards released their first of four lists deciding the eligibility of this season's Broadway shows, The Broadway Beat is doing a Tony Watch segment for the major awards covering the first quarter of the season.

Many of the eligible performers for lead actor and lead actress in a play opened in the first quarter. However, not so many of them are likely to be in Tony contention.

Lead Actor in a Play:
We've seen a couple big names already this season. James Earl Jones, Jim Parsons, Sam Rockwell, Clive Owen and Matthew Broderick all filled leading roles, along with newcomer Matt Ryan. However, Broderick, Ryan, Rockwell and Owen don't appear to be in the thick of the race.

Parsons's performance went over well, but a limited run summer show like An Act of God will likely be all but forgotten by Tony time. That leaves James Earl Jones at the head of this quarter's back.

Current Prediction:
1. James Earl Jones: The Gin Game
2. Jim Parsons: An Act of God
3. Sam Rockwell: Fool for Love
4. Matt Ryan: Therese Raquin
5. Matthew Broderick: Sylvia

A few upcoming performances to look out for:
Mark Strong: A View from the Bridge
Frank Langella: The Father
Tim Pigott Smith: King Charles III
Jeff Daniels: Blackbird
Forest Whitaker: Hughie
Gabriel Byrne: Long Days Journey Into Night
Al Pacino: China Doll
James Earl Jones with Cicely Tyson in The Gin Game

Lead Actress in a Play
Some of the ladies who have led plays in the first quarter of the season will have a much better chance at a nomination. Kiera Knightly, Annaleigh Ashford and Cicely Tyson are all very much in the conversation for a Tony nomination, with Nina Arianda as a potential spoiler. Right now we're giving the edge to Ashford, though its close between the three of them.

Current Prediction:
1. Annaleigh Ashford: Sylvia
2. Kiera Knightly: Therese Raquin
3. Cicely Tyson: The Gin Game
4. Nina Arianda: Fool for Love
5. Eve Best: Old Times

A few upcoming performances to look out for:
Laurie Metcalf: Misery
Jessica Lange: Long Days Journey Into Night
Lupita Nyong'o: Eclipsed
Michelle Williams: Blackbird
Sophie Okonedo: The Crucible
Linda Lavin: Our Mother's Brief Affair
Annaleigh Ashford and Matthew Broderick in Sylvia

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